血小板/淋巴细胞比值联合Grace评分对非ST段抬高型急性冠状动脉综合征院内心血管事件的预测价值
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(青岛大学附属医院崂山院区心内科,山东省青岛市 266000)

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胡昌灿,硕士研究生,研究方向为冠心病相关研究,E-mail为1452948031@qq.com。通信作者于海初,硕士,主任医师,教授,硕士研究生导师,研究方向为冠状动脉疾病的基础与临床研究,E-mail为haichuyu@163.com.cn。

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Predictive value of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio combined with Grace score for the in-hospital cardiovascular events in patients with non-ST-acute coronary syndrome
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Department of Cardiology, the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong 266000, China)

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    摘要:

    目的 评估血小板/淋巴细胞比值(PLR)与非ST段抬高型急性冠状动脉综合征(NSTE-ACS)风险分层及院内预后的相关性及PLR联合Grace评分能否提高Grace评分对院内主要不良心血管事件(MACE)的预测价值。方法 选取在青岛大学附属医院心内科住院被诊断为NSTE-ACS的患者372例。根据入院时PLR水平,分为低PLR组(PLR<97.56)、中PLR组(97.56≤PLR≤133.32)、高PLR组(PLR>133.32)各124例。比较三组之间基线临床资料、Grace评分及院内MACE的差异。依据有无MACE分为有MACE组36例,无MACE组336例,比较两组间基线临床资料、PLR、Grace评分的差异,评估PLR及Grace评分与院内MACE的相关性。应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线及DELONG方法评估PLR联合Grace评分与单用Grace评分对院内MACE预测价值的大小。结果(1)高、中、低PLR三组在Grace评分、院内MACE及急性心衰发生方面,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.001),且高PLR组>中PLR组>低PLR组。(2)与无MACE组比较,有MACE组在年龄、尿酸、血小板计数、PLR、Gensini评分、Grace评分水平明显升高,舒张压、肌酐清除率及左心室射血分数指标水平明显降低,差异有统计学意义(P<0.01)。(3)多因素Logistic回归分析显示PLR为NSTE-ACS患者发生院内MACE的独立预测因子(P<0.01)。(4)ROC曲线分析PLR联合Grace评分预测院内MACE发生的AUC为0.828,单用Grace评分预测院内MACE的AUC为0.793;应用MEDCALC的DELONG方法对两者AUC比较发现差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论 在NSTE-ACS患者中,PLR为发生院内MACE的独立预测因子,PLR联合Grace评分可显著提高Grace评分对院内MACE的预测价值。

    Abstract:

    Aim To evaluate the correlation of platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and risk stratification and in-hospital prognosis in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS), and to examine whether PLR combined with Grace risk score can improve the predictive value of Grace risk score for in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods 372 patients diagnosed as NSTE-ACS in the Department of Cardiology, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University were selected. According to the PLR level at admission, the patients were divided into low PLR group (PLR<97.56), medium PLR group (97.56≤PLR≤133.32), high PLR group (PLR>133.32), 124 cases in each group. Baseline clinical data, Grace score, and MACE between the three groups were compared. According to the presence or absence of MACE, there were 36 patients with MACE and 336 patients without MACE. The differences in baseline clinical data, PLR and Grace score between the two groups were compared. The correlation between PLR, Grace score and in-hospital MACE was evaluated. ROC curve and DELONG method were used to evaluate the predictive value of PLR combined with Grace score and Grace score alone for in-hospital MACE. Results (1) Grace score, the occurrence of in-hospital MACE and acute heart failure were significantly higher in the high PLR group than the low PLR and middle PLR groups, and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.001). (2) The age, uric acid, platelet count, PLR, Gensini score, and Grace score were significantly higher in the MACE group than those in the no-MACE group, and the diastolic blood pressure, creatinine clearance rate and left ventricle ejection fraction were significantly lower (P<0.01). (3) PLR was an independent predictor of in-hospital MACE in patients with NSTE-ACS by multivariate logistic regression analysis. (4) The area under the curve of PLR combined with Grace score to predict the incidence of in-hospital MACE was 0.828, and the area was estimated to be 0.793 by using Grace score alone. The difference between the two areas was statistically significant using the ELONG method of MEDCALC(P<0.05). Conclusions In NSTE-ACS patients, PLR is an independent predictor of in-hospital MACE. PLR combined with Grace score can significantly improve the predictive value of Grace score for in-hospital MACE.

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胡昌灿,于海初,孙桂霞,郭俊杰.血小板/淋巴细胞比值联合Grace评分对非ST段抬高型急性冠状动脉综合征院内心血管事件的预测价值[J].中国动脉硬化杂志,2019,27(8):700~707.

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  • 收稿日期:2018-12-16
  • 最后修改日期:2019-04-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-07-08