血清D-二聚体和sRAGE水平对老年冠心病患者介入治疗后短期不良预后的预测价值
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(1.黄冈市中心医院 心血管内科,湖北省黄冈市 438000;2.黄冈市中心医院 乳腺甲状腺外科,湖北省黄冈市 438000)

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单华静,医学硕士,主治医师,研究方向为心血管内科,E-mail:lqb2g0@163.com。通信作者黄能为,医学硕士,副主任医师,研究方向为乳腺甲状腺外科,E-mail:498900223@qq.com。

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The predictive value of serum D-dimer and sRAGE levels for short-term adverse prognosis in elderly patients with coronary heart disease after interventional therapy
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1.Department of Cardiology,Huanggang, Hubei 438000, China ;2.Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Huanggang Central Hospital, Huanggang, Hubei 438000, China)

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    摘要:

    目的]探究D-二聚体和可溶性晚期糖基化终末产物受体(sRAGE)水平对老年冠心病患者经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)后短期不良预后的预测价值。 [方法]收集2019年4月─2020年6月在黄冈市中心医院首次诊断为冠心病的316例老年患者的临床资料,根据随访期间患者是否发生主要不良心血管事件(MACE)将其分为MACE组(n=52)和非MACE组(n=264),采用单因素分析和多因素Logistic回归分析患者术后发生MACE的独立影响因素,依据患者预后的独立影响因素建立列线图预测模型并进行验证。通过曲线拟合和阈值效应分析确定D-二聚体和sRAGE水平的阈值效应,并通过Kaplan-Meier曲线评估D-二聚体和sRAGE水平对MACE发生的影响。 [结果]术后一年期间,纳入的316例老年冠心病患者中有52例(16.46%)发生MACE。MACE组患者的体质指数(BMI)、高血压占比、糖尿病占比、GRACE评分、支架数目、载脂蛋白(Apo)B、ApoB/ApoA、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDLC)、脂蛋白(a)[Lp(a)]以及D-二聚体水平均高于非MACE组,sRAGE水平低于非MACE组,差异均具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析表明,高GRACE评分、高Lp(a)及高D-二聚体水平为老年冠心病患者PCI术后发生MACE的独立危险因素,高sRAGE水平为保护因素(P<0.05)。曲线拟合发现,随着D-二聚体水平的升高以及sRAGE水平的降低,患者术后发生MACE的概率呈上升趋势。Kaplan-Meier曲线显示,较高D-二聚体水平的患者MACE的发生概率显著高于低D-二聚体水平的患者(P<0.001),较低sRAGE水平的患者MACE的发生概率显著高于高sRAGE水平的患者(P<0.001)。依据预后独立影响因素构建列线图模型,其一致性指数为0.796(95%CI:0.723~0.834),ROC曲线AUC为0.851(95%CI:0.806~0.892),具有较好的区分度。 [结论]高D-二聚体及低sRAGE水平是老年冠心病患者PCI术后发生MACE的重要危险因素,且对术后短期不良预后具有较高的预测价值。

    Abstract:

    Aim To explore the predictive value of serum D-dimer and the soluble receptor for advanced glycation end products (sRAGE) levels in the short-term poor prognosis of elderly patients with coronary heart disease after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods The clinical data of 316 elderly patients with coronary heart disease first diagnosed in Huanggang Central Hospital from April 2019 to June 2020 were collected. According to whether the patients had major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) during the follow-up period, they were divided into MACE group (n=52) and non MACE group (n=264). The independent influencing factors of postoperative MACE were analyzed by univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression, the nomogram prediction model was established and verified according to the independent influencing factors of patient prognosis. The threshold effect of D-dimer and sRAGE levels was determined by curve fitting and threshold effect analysis, and the influence of D-dimer and sRAGE levels on MACE was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curve. Results During the one-year postoperative period, 52(16.46%) of the 316 elderly patients with coronary heart disease who were included experienced MACE. Body mass index (BMI), proportion of hypertension, proportion of diabetes, GRACE score, number of stents, apoliporotein (Apo) B, ApoB/ApoA, low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC), liporotein (a) [Lp(a)] and D-dimer levels of patients in the MACE group were higher than those in the non MACE group, and sRAGE levels were lower than those in the non MACE group, with statistically significant differences(P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that high GRACE score, high Lp(a) and high D-dimer levels were independent risk factors for MACE in elderly patients with coronary heart disease after PCI treatment, and high sRAGE level was protective factor (P<0.05). Curve fitting found that the probability of MACE increased with the increase of D-dimer level and the decrease of sRAGE level. The Kaplan-Meier curve shows that the incidence of MACE in patients with higher D-dimer levels is significantly higher than that in patients with low D-dimer levels (P<0.001), and the incidence of MACE in patients with lower sRAGE levels is significantly higher than patients with higher sRAGE levels (P<0.001). The nomogram model was constructed based on independent prognostic factors, and its consistency index was 0.796 (95%CI:0.723~0.834), ROC curve AUC was 0.851 (95%CI:0.806~0.892), which has a good degree of discrimination. Conclusion High level of D-dimer and low level of sRAGE are important risk factors for MACE after PCI in elderly patients with coronary heart disease, and have a high predictive value for short-term adverse prognosis after PCI.

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单华静,黄能为.血清D-二聚体和sRAGE水平对老年冠心病患者介入治疗后短期不良预后的预测价值[J].中国动脉硬化杂志,2024,32(1):57~64.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-03-20
  • 最后修改日期:2023-06-06
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-02-05